Signal detail

ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

Updated 1:31 AMMarket data as of Jul 17, 2026

Bearish skewEvidence coverage: MediumHorizon: 20 trading days

Bearish evidence is led by Price Targets, Insider, and Technical.

Main positive: No clear positive driver
Main negative: Price target + Insider activity
Watch next: Target support or Insider pressure easing

Community discussion, filings & events →

Price-model views unavailable in this refresh. Price-model filters are disabled until the next matching artifact publishes.

Price Model / Risk

Why this model viewPrice call unavailable.

Key levelNo call — evidence only

Model thesisAwait latest price-call artifact.

Benchmarkn/a

Signal supportNo matching price-call artifact row.

Returns

5D10D20D

Stockn/an/an/a

Benchmarkn/an/an/a

Relativen/a

Price levels

Closen/a

Pullback lown/a

Supportn/a

Resistancen/a

SMA20n/a

SMA50n/a

Drivers

None

Warnings

None

Research / Monitor

Quality context

B quality

Quality data supports research context and still needs signal confirmation.

Analyst / Fundamentals

FundamentalsFCF+ / ROIC+ / Debt ok

Analyst coverage8 analysts

FlagsQuality A/B + FCF+ + ROIC+ + Leverage ok + Analyst covered

Monitor

WatchTarget support or Insider pressure easing

NewsNo news context in current artifact

HistoryWeak historyn=1469

Freshness

Fundamentals week2026-W29

Analyst dateJul 17, 2026

Price-model track record

ARM’s past model calls

This symbol’s completed bullish and bearish model views from the last 120 trading days, measured against their assigned benchmark after next trading-day entry.

Updated Jul 20, 2026

SIGNAL DATE	SYMBOL	MODEL VIEW	ENTRY DATE	ENTRY CLOSE	5D VS BENCH	10D VS BENCH	20D VS BENCH	STATUS
Jun 22, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 23, 2026	$366.39	Worked — lagged QQQ by 6.4 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 17.7 pts	Pending	10D measured
Jun 17, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 18, 2026	$439.46	Worked — lagged QQQ by 19.3 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 24.3 pts	Pending	10D measured
Jun 16, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 17, 2026	$418.88	Worked — lagged QQQ by 16.1 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 23.4 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 32.5 pts	Matured
Jun 11, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 12, 2026	$380.81	Missed — beat QQQ by 4.8 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 10.2 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 25.9 pts	Matured
Jun 10, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 11, 2026	$342.23	Missed — beat QQQ by 25.1 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 0.8 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 11.9 pts	Matured
Jun 9, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 10, 2026	$307.43	Missed — beat QQQ by 32.1 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 9.8 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 0.6 pts	Matured
Jun 8, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 9, 2026	$324.86	Missed — beat QQQ by 18.9 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 10.1 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 1.3 pts	Matured
Jun 5, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 8, 2026	$346.39	Missed — beat QQQ by 15.2 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 6.1 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 12.7 pts	Matured
Jun 4, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 5, 2026	$342.93	Missed — beat QQQ by 8.7 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 14.2 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 13.0 pts	Matured
Jun 3, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 4, 2026	$393.44	Worked — lagged QQQ by 9.8 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 11.7 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 15.7 pts	Matured
Jun 2, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 3, 2026	$411.83	Worked — lagged QQQ by 18.6 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 4.6 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 19.2 pts	Matured
Jun 1, 2026	ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares	Bearish View	Jun 2, 2026	$402.71	Worked — lagged QQQ by 14.2 pts	Missed — beat QQQ by 0.6 pts	Worked — lagged QQQ by 13.4 pts	Matured

Showing the 12 most recent of 14 measured calls.

Evidence

Signal rows

Evidence	Signal	Strength	What changed	Impact
	Neutral	Low	Current estimates have no directional weekly revision	Monitor only
Why this matters Estimate revisions show whether earnings and revenue expectations are moving in a helpful or harmful direction. MarketMind interpretation Current estimates have no directional weekly revision MarketMind currently classifies ARM as Bearish skew. Source detail EPS revision 0.0% Revenue revision -0.0% EPS analysts 18 Revenue analysts 21 Date Jul 17, 2026
	BearishFirst seen 8 sessions ago	Medium	Net insider value: $-55.4M	Main negative blocker
Why this matters Insider activity can flag whether company insiders are buying into the setup or selling into strength. MarketMind interpretation Net insider value: $-55.4M MarketMind currently classifies ARM as Bearish skew. Source detail Net insider value -$55.4M Buy count 0 Sell count 28 Last trade SELL Last title Chief Accounting Officer Date Jun 2, 2026
	BearishFirst seen 1 session ago	Medium	gap detected	Timing risk
Why this matters Technical action shows whether price and volume confirm the setup or create timing risk. MarketMind interpretation gap detected MarketMind currently classifies ARM as Bearish skew. Source detail 1d return +2.0% 20d return -39.2% Gap -4.4% Date Jul 17, 2026
	BearishFirst seen 3 sessions ago	Medium	Consensus target changed -0.0% week over week	Main negative blocker
Why this matters Price targets show whether analyst valuation expectations support or resist the current stock price. MarketMind interpretation Consensus target changed -0.0% week over week MarketMind currently classifies ARM as Bearish skew. Source detail Target change -0.0% Upside +18.1% Analysts 8 Consensus target $315.50 Date Jul 17, 2026
	Context	Low	No analyst action in current artifact	Monitor only
Why this matters Analyst rating changes can show whether professional expectations are improving or deteriorating. MarketMind interpretation No analyst action in current artifact MarketMind currently classifies ARM as Bearish skew. Source detail Source detail No source metric supplied
	Context	Low	No news context in current artifact	Monitor only
Why this matters News context explains whether current headlines are active enough to monitor, without treating raw coverage as a directional signal. MarketMind interpretation No news context in current artifact MarketMind currently classifies ARM as Bearish skew. Source detail Source detail No source metric supplied

Method & data

How each setup is built

Each row starts with rules-based signal detection, then checks which evidence lanes are active, whether price action and benchmark context pass the current rule gates, and what level would confirm or invalidate the setup.

Price-model views return after the next matching artifact refreshes.Evidence: shows which bullish and bearish rule inputs are active.Price model: positive and neutral views come from long-entry gates; exit watch and negative views come from extension plus technical weakening.Price action: 5D/10D/20D shows benchmark-relative movement into the latest close, not a completed result.Expanded details show the raw stock move, benchmark move, and relative spread.Confirm / break: the level that would validate or invalidate the setup.Outcomes: completed price-model views appear separately after the measurement window matures.

	SYMBOL	SETUP	SIGNAL CLOSE	EVIDENCE SUPPORT	TOP FACTORS	RULE CONF.	5D	10D	20D	VS BENCH	CONFIRM / BREAK	WHY	DETAILS

Signals

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ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

ARM’s past model calls

Signal rows

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